Kenya, 30 January 2026 - Kenya’s annual inflation rate moderated to 4.4 percent in January 2026, down from 4.5 percent in December 2025, as continued declines in key cost drivers such as transportation, food and internet services eased price pressures for households and businesses, according to the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS).
This latest reading underscores sustained macroeconomic stability six months into the new year and follows a broader trend of inflation remaining comfortably within the Central Bank of Kenya’s (CBK) target range of 2.5 – 7.5 percent.
Lower transportation costs were a major contributor to the slowdown, with inter-town bus and matatu fares falling 1.9 percent, supported by modest price drops in petrol (-1.1 percent) and diesel (-0.6 percent).
At the same time, information and communication costs, including mobile handsets and television sets, eased, while internet fees declined slightly, pulling down the overall inflation figure.
On the food front, declines in the prices of staples such as sugar (-3.0 percent), mangoes (-3.2 percent), and cooking oil (-0.1 percent) helped mitigate rising costs in other food categories. However, not all food prices fell; staple items like cabbage (up 9.3 percent), fortified maize flour (up 6.7 percent) and Irish potatoes (up 3.4 percent) registered increases, reflecting ongoing supply dynamics in key agricultural markets.
Kenya’s inflation has been relatively stable in recent months, staying below the midpoint of the CBK’s target range and signalling subdued price pressures.
Throughout much of 2025, annual inflation hovered around 4.5 percent, supported by relatively contained food and transport inflation that helped counteract occasional upward pressures from energy and housing costs.
Economists say the moderation in headline inflation benefits consumers by preserving purchasing power and supporting household budgets, particularly for low- and middle-income families who spend a larger share of income on food, transport and communication.
Lower transport and fuel costs also help ease the cost base for many businesses, particularly those in trade, logistics and services.
Some analysts also point to structural support from monetary policy easing in 2025, where the CBK progressively reduced the Central Bank Rate (CBR) to stimulate lending and bolster economic activity while keeping inflation expectations anchored.
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The decline in internet and communication costs is a positive signal for Kenya’s rapidly growing digital economy, where falling data and device prices can increase connectivity and participation in online services.
Meanwhile, transportation cost reductions offer relief for commuters and goods transporters, potentially lowering logistics costs for companies and traders.
Nevertheless, the mixed performance in food price categories highlights ongoing agricultural supply challenges, where seasonal weather patterns, market access and production costs can still drive volatility.
Items like leafy vegetables and maize products remain sensitive to local supply conditions, which can fluctuate month to month.
Economists and policymakers will closely monitor inflation dynamics in the coming months, particularly as global energy prices, exchange rates and food production conditions evolve.
Maintaining inflation within target range supports macroeconomic predictability, which is crucial for investment planning, lending decisions and consumer confidence.
Continued declines in transport, communication and energy costs will likely keep headline inflation in check, but structural factors, such as agriculture output and imported commodities, may bring episodic pressures that require coordinated policy responses across fiscal, monetary and supply-side measures.

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